LOCAL INTELLIGENCE™ · SEPTEMBER 2026
See the market before everyone else.
The market is local.
Street by street.
Markets are usually described in averages. But the difference between two streets can matter more than the difference between two cities. This September 2026 edition explains what the latest numbers mean for buyers and sellers across Burlington and Hamilton.
- Inventory Tightening
- Demand Softening
- Prices Mixed
- Competition Moderate
01 · Where do you fit?
Townhouses and condos offer more room to negotiate, while detached homes remain well supported.
Overall sales slowed 14.1% year over year, and the townhouse and condo median softened 8.2% to $670,000 with homes taking 13.5% longer to sell (42 days). Detached supply is tighter at 3.1 months of inventory and detached homes sold 23.5% faster, so well-priced detached listings still attract serious interest.
- Best opportunityTownhouse / condo segment
- WatchDetached inventory down 19.6%
- Geoff’s adviceKnow where you have room to negotiate, and where you don’t
Detached sellers have the stronger hand, while condo and townhouse sellers face a softer market.
Detached sales fell 19.8%, but inventory dropped 19.6% and the median detached price rose 1.8% to $1,190,000, with homes selling in 26 days. Townhouse and condo sellers face softer prices and longer marketing times. With buyers selective, realistic pricing and strong presentation matter most.
- Strongest advantageTight detached supply and faster sales
- WatchSofter townhouse and condo prices
- Geoff’s adviceRealistic pricing, strong presentation, neighbourhood-level knowledge
02 · Dig Deeper View the full September 2026 data
The Smith Dobrowsky Market Balance Index™ reflects market conditions based on supply, demand, pricing, competition, and momentum. Burlington’s September 2026 score is 55 out of 100.
Overall sales fell 14.1% year over year, led by a 19.8% drop in detached sales, while active listings fell 15.8%. Overall months of supply sit at 3.6, with detached at 3.1 months and townhouse/condo at 4.1 — two distinct market dynamics. A recovery in demand combined with limited inventory could strengthen competition, particularly for detached homes.
Detached
- Median sale price
- $1,190,000
- Median price change
- +1.8%
- Sales
- 77
- Sales change
- −19.8%
- Months of inventory
- 3.1
- Months of inventory change
- −13.9%
- Average price
- $1,360,500
- Average price change
- +6.2%
- New listings
- 211
- New listings change
- −14.6%
- Inventory
- 274
- Inventory change
- −19.6%
- Days on market
- 26
- Days-on-market change
- −23.5%
- % of list price received
- 96.6%
- List-price-received change
- −0.6%
Condo / Townhome
- Median sale price
- $670,000
- Median price change
- −8.2%
- Sales
- 69
- Sales change
- −6.8%
- Months of inventory
- 4.1
- Months of inventory change
- −4.7%
- Average price
- $734,527
- Average price change
- −5.1%
- New listings
- 177
- New listings change
- −22.0%
- Inventory
- 314
- Inventory change
- −12.0%
- Days on market
- 42
- Days-on-market change
- +13.5%
- % of list price received
- 97.3%
- List-price-received change
- −0.6%
Based on September 2026 activity · ITSO data current October 2, 2026 · Bank of Canada policy rate held at 2.25% · September 2026 inflation 2.5% year over year · Unemployment 6.5%, slightly higher · Local data compares September 2026 with September 2025 · Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures
Burlington Intelligence Archive
Sales slowed and inventory tightened while detached prices held firm, keeping the index at 55 — balanced, with two distinct market dynamics.
Sales took a breather while detached inventory fell even faster, easing the index to 55 — balanced, selective, and slightly favouring sellers.
Detached inventory fell sharply while sales cooled, tightening supply to 2.7 months and keeping competition elevated for well-priced homes.
October 2026
Coming soon. Expected focus: whether detached strength holds as fall buyers return.
Want Geoff’s read on your street?
Market averages only tell part of the story. Geoff can help you understand how today’s Burlington market applies to your home, your search, or your neighbourhood.
Ask About Burlington
- Inventory Tightening
- Demand Softening
- Prices Lower
- Competition Easing
- Outlook Leaning Toward Buyers
01 · Where do you fit?
Buyers have more time and more room to negotiate, with improved affordability.
Overall sales fell 22.6% year over year and the median price declined 8.9% to $640,000. Detached homes averaged 44 days on market (up 18.9%) and townhouses and condos 51 days (up 10.9%), giving buyers time to compare. Inventory is down 14.5%, and conditions can differ significantly between neighbourhoods, property types and price ranges.
- Best opportunityLonger selling times in both segments
- WatchInventory down 14.5% overall
- Geoff’s adviceTake time to compare, and negotiate on price and condition
Reduced inventory helps, but buyers are comparing carefully, so expectations need to be realistic.
Inventory is down in both segments — detached 12.6% and condo 17.8% — which is preventing a bigger imbalance. But buyers are less inclined to overlook condition or pricing concerns, and homes are taking longer to sell. Well-presented homes priced for their neighbourhood still draw serious interest.
- Strongest advantageFewer competing listings
- WatchLonger days on market in both segments
- Geoff’s advicePrice for your neighbourhood and present the home well
02 · Dig Deeper View the full September 2026 data
The Smith Dobrowsky Market Balance Index™ reflects market conditions based on supply, demand, pricing, competition, and momentum. Hamilton’s September 2026 score is 47 out of 100.
Overall sales declined 22.6% year over year and the median sale price fell 8.9% to $640,000. Detached homes took 44 days to sell (up 18.9%) and townhouses and condos 51 days (up 10.9%). Active inventory was down 14.5%, with 4.8 months of inventory overall — broadly balanced, but noticeably softer than a year earlier.
Single Family Detached
- Median sale price
- $692,500
- Median price change
- −9.9%
- Sales
- 270
- Sales change
- −20.6%
- Months of inventory
- 4.5
- Months of inventory change
- −2.2%
- Average price
- $778,972
- Average price change
- −9.2%
- New listings
- 737
- New listings change
- −20.2%
- Inventory
- 1,335
- Inventory change
- −12.6%
- Days on market
- 44
- Days-on-market change
- +18.9%
- % of list price received
- 96.7%
- List-price-received change
- −0.2%
Townhouse / Condo
- Median sale price
- $565,000
- Median price change
- −5.8%
- Sales
- 106
- Sales change
- −27.4%
- Months of inventory
- 5.4
- Months of inventory change
- −6.9%
- Average price
- $549,996
- Average price change
- −6.3%
- New listings
- 320
- New listings change
- −33.1%
- Inventory
- 729
- Inventory change
- −17.8%
- Days on market
- 51
- Days-on-market change
- +10.9%
- % of list price received
- 97.0%
- List-price-received change
- −0.5%
Based on September 2026 activity · ITSO data current October 2, 2026 · Bank of Canada policy rate held at 2.25% · September 2026 inflation 2.5% year over year · Unemployment 6.5%, slightly higher · Local data compares September 2026 with September 2025 · Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures
Hamilton Intelligence Archive
Sales fell 22.6% and prices softened further, moving the index to 47 — balanced, but leaning more toward buyers.
Demand slowed sharply and prices eased in both segments, moving the index to 49 — balanced, but marginally on the buyer’s side.
Inventory pulled back across both segments while prices held mostly steady, nudging the market toward a slight buyer advantage.
October 2026
Coming soon. Expected focus: whether tighter inventory can offset softer demand heading into winter.
Want Geoff’s read on your Hamilton pocket?
Hamilton averages can hide major street-by-street differences. Geoff can help you understand how today’s balance applies to your home, your search, or your neighbourhood.
Ask About Hamilton
Where We Work
Burlington
& Hamilton.
Every buyer eventually asks what they should know about a specific street. That question deserves a real answer — not a neighbourhood average.
Start the ConversationLocal Intelligence™
Get next month’s report first.
One email, once a month. Street-level pricing, inventory, and days-on-market for Burlington and Hamilton — before it’s public.
Almost done — finish the quick “I’m not a robot” check in the tab that just opened, then confirm from your inbox.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.